Avian Flu Pandemic Might Never Happen
Two seperate groups of researchers, in Japan and in Holland, say they have discovered why the avian flu virus is rarely transmitted from one person to another.
The reason, the researchers propose, is that the cells bearing the type of receptor the avian virus is known to favor are clustered in the deepest branches of the human respiratory tract, keeping it from spreading by coughs and sneezes. Whereas Human flu viruses typically infect cells in the upper respiratory tract.
It is their conclusion that the avian virus would need to accumulate many mutations in its genetic material before it could become a pandemic strain, said Yoshihiro Kawaoka, a virologist at the University of Tokyo.
According to a news release approved by Dr. Kawaoka, “The finding suggests that scientists and public health agencies worldwide may have much more time to prepare for an eventual pandemic.”
Dr. Kawaoka’s finding is published in Nature, and a similar finding, by Thijs Kuiken and colleagues at the Erasmus Medical Center in Rotterdam, appears in this week’s Science.
Flu experts already knew that people who contract the current avian flu virus, a type known as A(H5N1) or H5 for short, are infected in the lower lung.
So here is hope that we will be prepared when the pandemic does strike, if ever.
